0x6734805860ca85c48325fee9c73acb0c6db8fd07
0x6734805860ca85c48325fee9c73acb0c6db8fd07
Wallet digest
Activity score
37/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
25
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-3.2K
Realised
$-164.56
Win rate
17%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 25- YES
Will Israel strike Syria on July 21?
2888 shares @ 7.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-216.15
- YES
Will Israel strike Syria on July 19?
2264 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-67.19
- YES
Congressman joins the America Party before August?
2000 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-33.00
- YES
Israel strikes Iran before September?
1888 shares @ 9.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-178.80
- YES
Will Israel strike Syria on July 20?
1888 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-84.27
- YES
Another Israel strike on Yemen by Friday?
1747 shares @ 21.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2025$0.00
$-376.37
- YES
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by July 31?
1388 shares @ 11.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-153.80
- YES
Israel strikes Iran by October 31?
1199 shares @ 21.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-255.80
- YES
Gaza mass population relocation in 2025?
1000 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-150.00
- YES
Obama federally charged in 2025?
1000 shares @ 5.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-59.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla on October 1 ET?$80.00Dec 17, 19:44 UTC
- REWARD$1.08Oct 2, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla on October 1 ET?$76.00Oct 1, 17:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother US military action against Iran before 2026?$57.60Oct 1, 13:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran by October 31?$199.80Oct 1, 06:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla by September 30?$60.00Sep 30, 21:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother US military action against Iran before 2026?$32.40Sep 30, 21:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran by October 31?$0.34Sep 30, 21:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran by October 31?$1.56Sep 30, 21:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran by October 31?$5.60Sep 30, 21:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran by October 31?$11.20Sep 30, 21:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran by October 31?$23.24Sep 30, 21:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran by October 31?$14.06Sep 30, 21:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYObama federally charged in 2025?$6.36Sep 25, 15:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYObama federally charged in 2025?$23.14Sep 25, 15:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYObama federally charged in 2025?$29.50Sep 25, 15:39 UTC
- TRADESELLObama federally charged in 2025?$63.02Sep 15, 22:07 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Iran ceasefire broken by August 31?$120.00Aug 13, 00:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran before September?$90.00Aug 13, 00:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire broken by August 31?$7.09Aug 13, 00:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
20/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
17% win rate over 6 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 53/100.
6 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $46.42
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 8, 18:43 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 17, 19:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.