Blushing-Pudding
0x67379861d218e7abe7f0e5533b14654b9916ffe2
Wallet digest
Activity score
47/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
84
Open notional
$17.58
Total PnL
$-458.50
Realised
$-22.67
Win rate
11%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 84- NO
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C on August 9?
7 shares @ 46.0¢·now 46.0¢·exp Aug 9, 2026$3.00
$0.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 14°C on August 9?
6 shares @ 47.0¢·now 43.5¢·exp Aug 9, 2026$2.78
$-0.22
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on August 9?
6 shares @ 47.0¢·now 42.5¢·exp Aug 9, 2026$2.71
$-0.29
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on August 9?
6 shares @ 50.0¢·now 37.5¢·exp Aug 9, 2026$2.25
$-0.75
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on August 9?
60 shares @ 5.0¢·now 3.5¢·exp Aug 9, 2026$2.10
$-0.90
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on August 9?
43 shares @ 7.0¢·now 4.5¢·exp Aug 9, 2026$1.93
$-1.07
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on August 9?
43 shares @ 7.0¢·now 3.5¢·exp Aug 9, 2026$1.50
$-1.50
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 33°C on August 9?
38 shares @ 8.0¢·now 3.5¢·exp Aug 9, 2026$1.31
$-1.69
- NO
Will Claude 4.7 be released on or prior to April 16, 2026?
571 shares @ 11.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-63.10
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET
296 shares @ 12.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$0.00
$-37.48
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on August 9?$3.37Aug 8, 12:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on August 9?$3.43Aug 8, 11:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on August 9?$3.14Aug 8, 10:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on August 9?$3.14Aug 8, 10:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 33°C on August 9?$3.14Aug 8, 10:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on August 9?$3.14Aug 8, 10:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on August 9?$3.14Aug 8, 10:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on August 9?$3.08Aug 8, 09:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on August 9?$3.08Aug 8, 09:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C on August 9?$3.08Aug 8, 09:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on August 9?$3.08Aug 8, 09:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 14°C on August 9?$3.08Aug 8, 00:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 33°C on August 8?$2.84Aug 7, 12:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on August 7?$3.76Aug 7, 12:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 33°C on August 8?$3.09Aug 7, 09:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on August 7?$3.07Aug 6, 00:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on August 5?$3.09Aug 5, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on August 4?$3.10Aug 4, 00:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 33°C on August 3?$3.09Aug 2, 17:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 28°C or below on August 4?$1.05Aug 2, 12:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
29/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
11% win rate over 9 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
41 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 50/100.
9 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $4.30
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 15, 08:28 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 8, 12:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.