Known-Talking
0x673bec9b3ede462dd62c9e4402bdd1f03844b22b
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
10
Open notional
$11.0K
Total PnL
$-472.27
Realised
$-1.67
Win rate
0%
4 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 20?
3000 shares @ 99.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 20, 2026$3.0K
$22.00
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on August 20?
2814 shares @ 98.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 20, 2026$2.8K
$44.56
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 20?
1340 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 20, 2026$1.3K
$3.02
- NO
Will the price of Solana be above $90 on August 20?
1000 shares @ 96.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 20, 2026$1.0K
$40.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 20?
1000 shares @ 97.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 20, 2026$1.0K
$25.50
- NO
Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on August 20?
1000 shares @ 97.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 20, 2026$1000.00
$30.00
- NO
Will Solana reach $90 August 17-23?
1000 shares @ 97.4¢·now 32.8¢·exp Aug 24, 2026$327.50
$-646.50
- NO
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $152 in August?
300 shares @ 98.8¢·now 99.6¢·exp Sep 1, 2026$298.80
$2.40
- YES
Will the price of XRP be above $1.10 on August 20?
180 shares @ 96.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 20, 2026$180.27
$6.31
- NO
Will Solana dip to $70 August 17-23?
66 shares @ 96.2¢·now 99.4¢·exp Aug 24, 2026$65.39
$2.11
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on August 20?$924.54Aug 20, 15:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.30 on August 20?$5.65Aug 20, 14:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.30 on August 20?$80.19Aug 20, 14:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.30 on August 20?$430.10Aug 20, 14:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.30 on August 20?$145.50Aug 20, 14:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.30 on August 20?$27.97Aug 20, 14:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.30 on August 20?$8.74Aug 20, 14:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.30 on August 20?$58.20Aug 20, 14:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.30 on August 20?$29.09Aug 20, 14:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.10 on August 20?$98.47Aug 20, 14:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on August 20?$124.00Aug 20, 14:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on August 20?$1.1KAug 20, 14:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.10 on August 20?$28.95Aug 20, 14:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.10 on August 20?$9.65Aug 20, 14:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.10 on August 20?$5.79Aug 20, 14:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.10 on August 20?$19.20Aug 20, 13:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.30 on August 20?$5.82Aug 20, 13:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.30 on August 20?$2.26Aug 20, 13:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.10 on August 20?$11.90Aug 20, 13:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.30 on August 20?$93.61Aug 20, 13:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
13/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 68/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $403.73
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 17, 07:04 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 20, 15:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.