Tidy-Chuck
0x6743f7c36dbcbc4caf21eecce4408d245ae8288e
Wallet digest
Activity score
47/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-936.24
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $135K in September?
2174 shares @ 4.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 1, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET
2116 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-11.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $130K in September?
1111 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 1, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
667 shares @ 44.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-299.88
- YES
2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 65-104
665 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will the Government shutdown end by November 7?
649 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-21.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in November?
556 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- NO
Bitcoin new all time high in 2024?
353 shares @ 28.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
246 shares @ 40.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET
20 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-4.37
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jul 21, 20:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 19, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$102.97Jul 17, 23:53 UTC
- REDEEMUS forces enter Iran by December 31?$75.76Jul 17, 23:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by December 31?$50.00Apr 1, 19:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 8?$140.17Mar 8, 21:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET$4.40Mar 8, 05:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET$11.00Mar 8, 04:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 8?$100.00Mar 8, 04:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end by November 7?$21.00Nov 6, 03:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $120,000 in November?$100.00Nov 6, 03:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $135K in September?$100.00Sep 6, 03:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $130K in September?$100.00Sep 6, 03:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$99.88Nov 4, 00:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin new all time high in 2024?$100.00Nov 3, 06:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$100.00Nov 3, 06:19 UTC
- TRADEBUY2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 65-104$100.00Nov 3, 06:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$100.00Nov 3, 06:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
14 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 14
- Avg trade size
- $77.80
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 3, 06:14 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 20:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.