Deficient-Citizen
0x675e1edd16da4eb43f132bb6c6e3046b1293f582
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$15.13
Total PnL
$-78.21
Realised
$2.80
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- YES
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?
14 shares @ 74.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$13.51
$3.51
- YES
Will France win on 2026-07-09?
2 shares @ 62.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$1.61
$0.61
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?
1026 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2025$0.00
$-2.01
- YES
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 22 2025?
1000 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-8.00
- YES
Will Curtis Sliwa win Staten Island?
375 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-0.38
- YES
Will Donald Trump say "Abraham Accords" during Syria President events on November 10?
256 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 10, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?
250 shares @ 6.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-16.15
- YES
Will Anthropic have a #1 AI model this year?
100 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-8.00
- NO
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?
74 shares @ 18.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-14.00
- NO
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22?
41 shares @ 27.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-11.30
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-07-09?$1.01Jul 7, 13:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-07-07?$10.08Jul 7, 13:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?$1.00May 25, 12:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?$1.02May 25, 12:17 UTC
- REDEEMUS forces enter Iran by December 31?$14.08May 25, 12:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by December 31?$10.00Mar 14, 16:34 UTC
- TRADESELLJesus Christ return before 2027 Odds >5% February 17, 12-1 AM?$56.00Feb 15, 08:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYJesus Christ return before 2027 Odds >5% February 17, 12-1 AM?$35.00Feb 11, 19:05 UTC
- TRADESELLICE shooter charged by March 31?$11.80Feb 11, 18:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Seguro win Portugal's Overseas Vote?$99.25Feb 11, 18:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Seguro win Portugal's Overseas Vote?$67.00Feb 8, 19:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$17.48Jan 16, 13:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill António José Seguro qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$7.21Jan 16, 13:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill António José Seguro qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$5.00Jan 12, 19:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYICE shooter charged by March 31?$10.00Jan 12, 19:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$5.00Jan 12, 10:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$10.00Jan 12, 10:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$10.00Jan 12, 10:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump sue the BBC?$153.45Dec 31, 16:10 UTC
- REDEEMThailand strikes Cambodia by December 31?$20.00Dec 13, 14:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 72/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $15.80
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 18, 06:30 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 7, 13:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.