Prestigious-Organisation
0x67648291a1181780108733194a3243745da34457
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$3.92
Total PnL
$-2.21
Realised
$-0.09
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Nothing Ever Happens: Taylor Swift Edition
4 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$3.92
$0.27
- YES
Will an AI win the $5 million AI Math Olympiad Prize before August?
16 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2024$0.00
$-0.80
- YES
Will $MFER hit $1 Billion FDV before June?
13 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2024$0.00
$-0.30
- NO
Trump flips a 2020 Biden state?
6 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-1.20
- YES
Will Biden mention aliens by August 31?
2 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2023$0.00
$-0.10
Recent activity
- TRADESELLNothing Ever Happens: Taylor Swift Edition$1.00Nov 10, 16:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: Taylor Swift Edition$4.65Nov 10, 16:05 UTC
- TRADESELLRams vs. 49ers$0.09Dec 11, 21:37 UTC
- TRADESELLRams vs. 49ers$0.09Dec 11, 21:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYRams vs. 49ers$0.10Dec 11, 21:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYRams vs. 49ers$0.10Dec 11, 21:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBengals vs. Cowboys$0.10Dec 9, 21:09 UTC
- TRADESELLBengals vs. Cowboys$0.09Dec 9, 21:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBengals vs. Cowboys$0.10Dec 9, 21:08 UTC
- TRADESELLPackers vs. Lions$0.28Dec 5, 21:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYPackers vs. Lions$0.10Dec 5, 21:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYPackers vs. Lions$0.10Dec 5, 21:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYPackers vs. Lions$0.10Dec 5, 21:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet less than 60 times?$0.10May 13, 14:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill an AI win the $5 million AI Math Olympiad Prize before August?$0.03May 10, 21:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump flips a 2020 Biden state?$0.10May 10, 18:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump flips a 2020 Biden state?$0.20May 10, 17:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump flips a 2020 Biden state?$0.20May 10, 17:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump flips a 2020 Biden state?$0.10May 10, 17:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump flips a 2020 Biden state?$0.10May 10, 17:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
36 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 66/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $0.28
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 1, 15:20 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 10, 16:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.