Agonizing-Aquarium
0x6768598c2475925dfeac8692e73eaedd1f4cab6d
Wallet digest
Activity score
39/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
55
Open notional
$6.94
Total PnL
$-50.06
Realised
$-1.00
Win rate
0%
47 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 55- YES
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on August 21?
1 shares @ 88.0¢·now 99.6¢·exp Aug 21, 2026$1.13
$0.13
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on August 22?
2 shares @ 55.0¢·now 59.5¢·exp Aug 22, 2026$1.08
$0.08
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on August 23?
12 shares @ 8.4¢·now 8.5¢·exp Aug 23, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on August 23?
6 shares @ 17.0¢·now 16.5¢·exp Aug 23, 2026$0.97
$-0.03
- BOSTON RED SOX
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees
2 shares @ 54.0¢·now 52.0¢·exp Sep 5, 2026$0.96
$-0.04
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 104-105°F on August 21?
2 shares @ 65.0¢·now 60.0¢·exp Aug 21, 2026$0.92
$-0.08
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C on August 23?
14 shares @ 7.0¢·now 6.0¢·exp Aug 23, 2026$0.86
$-0.14
- YES
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
45 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
19 shares @ 5.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on August 21?$1.32Aug 21, 16:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on August 23?$1.04Aug 21, 14:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C on August 23?$1.05Aug 21, 14:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on August 23?$1.05Aug 21, 14:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 104-105°F on August 21?$1.02Aug 21, 12:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on August 21?$1.01Aug 21, 12:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on August 20?$1.52Aug 21, 08:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on August 22?$1.02Aug 21, 06:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 21?$0.03Aug 21, 06:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 20?$1.41Aug 21, 02:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 21?$1.02Aug 21, 02:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 21?$1.27Aug 21, 02:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 25°C or higher on August 20?$1.59Aug 20, 22:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 21?$1.05Aug 20, 10:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on August 21?$1.01Aug 20, 10:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on August 20?$1.02Aug 20, 10:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on August 19?$1.25Aug 20, 05:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 25°C or higher on August 20?$1.02Aug 20, 01:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 20?$1.01Aug 20, 01:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on August 19?$1.20Aug 19, 22:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
61/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 47 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
32 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 26/100.
47 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 14, 01:06 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 21, 16:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 47 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.