Unusual-Snug-Bongo
0x676c10a464c73fcc11e22665e52853fd1df8ce51
Wallet digest
Activity score
89/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$199.14
Total PnL
$2.06
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will FISA Section 702 be reauthorized by July 31?
155 shares @ 66.7¢·now 68.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$105.43
$2.04
- NO
Fnatic merger/acquisition announced by September 1, 2026?
100 shares @ 41.0¢·now 42.5¢·exp Sep 2, 2026$42.50
$1.50
- YES
Will 2–3 of these AIPAC endorsees lose their primaries?
53 shares @ 48.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$26.77
$1.32
- NO
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?
30 shares @ 81.0¢·now 81.5¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$24.45
$0.15
- YES
Will Morocco win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
10 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-2.96
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill 2–3 of these AIPAC endorsees lose their primaries?$25.97Jul 4, 13:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to less than 20 years in prison?$2.64Jul 4, 13:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 40 and 60 years in prison?$2.96Jul 4, 13:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 20 and 40 years in prison?$7.76Jul 4, 13:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?$12.00Jul 4, 13:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?$13.20Jul 4, 13:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?$25.19Jul 4, 13:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026?$3.09Jul 4, 13:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYFnatic merger/acquisition announced by September 1, 2026?$41.73Jul 4, 13:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FISA Section 702 be reauthorized by July 31?$9.58Jul 3, 17:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FISA Section 702 be reauthorized by July 31?$16.52Jul 3, 17:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FISA Section 702 be reauthorized by July 31?$4.97Jul 3, 17:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FISA Section 702 be reauthorized by July 31?$3.28Jul 3, 17:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FISA Section 702 be reauthorized by July 31?$70.41Jul 2, 15:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?$5.60Jul 2, 04:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to less than 20 years in prison?$0.42Jul 2, 03:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to less than 20 years in prison?$0.00Jul 2, 02:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?$7.20Jul 2, 02:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?$24.30Jul 2, 02:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?$5.40Jul 2, 02:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
30 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 62/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $11.86
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 20, 08:54 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 4, 13:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.