Fixed-Dredger
0x6770bf688b8121331b1c5cfd7723ebd4152545fb
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
57
Open notional
$46.3K
Total PnL
$-2.3K
Realised
$-543.06
Win rate
40%
20 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 57- NO
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
20000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 84.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$17.0K
$7.0K
- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
6208 shares @ 92.0¢·now 97.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$6.1K
$356.40
- NO
Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
4204 shares @ 97.3¢·now 97.9¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$4.1K
$23.45
- YES
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
3531 shares @ 96.1¢·now 98.3¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$3.5K
$77.15
- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
20000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 15.2¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$3.0K
$-7.0K
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
4933 shares @ 39.5¢·now 57.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.8K
$887.40
- YES
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
3563 shares @ 46.2¢·now 55.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.0K
$331.02
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
1293 shares @ 93.3¢·now 93.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.2K
$-0.65
- NO
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?
6881 shares @ 27.8¢·now 16.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.1K
$-779.29
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
1500 shares @ 39.0¢·now 66.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$997.50
$412.50
Recent activity
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?$250.00Jun 13, 14:46 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?$235.00Jun 13, 14:36 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?$5.00Jun 13, 14:32 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?$5.00Jun 13, 14:32 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?$5.00Jun 13, 14:32 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$620.72Jun 13, 14:11 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$9.58Jun 13, 14:11 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$5.56Jun 13, 14:11 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$6.81Jun 13, 14:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?$98.52Jun 13, 14:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?$58.04Jun 13, 13:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?$38.00Jun 13, 13:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?$91.42Jun 13, 13:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$11.10Jun 13, 13:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$166.45Jun 13, 13:02 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$280.00Jun 13, 13:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$153.00Jun 13, 12:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$559.99Jun 13, 12:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?$110.00Jun 13, 11:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?$78.61Jun 13, 11:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $123.51
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 12, 20:45 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 14:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 20 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.