Reflecting-Beanstalk-Pressurisation
0x6770e7350863f6ea786cb19d628b6ee170049d00
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
45
Open notional
$11.74
Total PnL
$-88.94
Realised
$-7.15
Win rate
43%
21 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 45- YES
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on August 1?
10 shares @ 59.5¢·now 62.5¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$6.25
$0.30
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on August 1?
8 shares @ 30.0¢·now 33.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$2.64
$0.24
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on August 3?
10 shares @ 15.0¢·now 22.5¢·exp Aug 3, 2026$2.25
$0.75
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on August 1?
15 shares @ 19.3¢·now 4.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$0.60
$-2.30
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on July 25?
32 shares @ 38.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2026$0.00
$-12.36
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on July 27?
24 shares @ 28.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 27, 2026$0.00
$-6.94
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on July 17?
18 shares @ 53.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 17, 2026$0.00
$-9.58
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on July 31?
15 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.65
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on July 8?
15 shares @ 34.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 8, 2026$0.00
$-5.14
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on July 25?
15 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2026$0.00
$-6.15
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on August 1?$2.40Aug 1, 04:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on August 3?$1.50Aug 1, 04:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on July 31?$16.00Jul 31, 22:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on August 1?$2.95Jul 31, 22:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on August 1?$0.30Jul 31, 20:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on August 1?$0.10Jul 31, 18:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on July 31?$0.45Jul 31, 16:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on July 31?$1.20Jul 31, 15:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on July 31?$2.37Jul 31, 14:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on July 31?$0.11Jul 31, 14:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on July 31?$0.19Jul 31, 14:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on July 31?$1.30Jul 31, 14:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on July 31?$1.75Jul 31, 14:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on July 31?$1.90Jul 31, 13:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on July 31?$1.85Jul 31, 13:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on July 31?$1.65Jul 31, 13:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on July 31?$2.65Jul 31, 13:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on July 31?$1.91Jul 31, 12:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on July 31?$1.80Jul 31, 12:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on July 31?$0.86Jul 31, 10:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
42/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
43% win rate over 21 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 46/100.
21 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $1.36
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 29, 03:17 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 1, 04:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 21 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.