Sweaty-Necessity
0x677c06b956661a58c55401d90defd8d4d10376f4
Wallet digest
Activity score
39/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
115
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-386.66
Realised
$-31.68
Win rate
23%
22 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 115- NO
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 12°C on April 16?
95 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2026$0.00
$-0.95
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Miami be 86°F or higher on April 16?
93 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.02
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 86°F or higher on April 18?
91 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 18, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 27°C on April 18?
86 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.80
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on April 16?
83 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on April 18?
82 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 18, 2026$0.00
$-0.73
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 27°C or below on April 17?
79 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.88
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 86-87°F on April 18?
79 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 18, 2026$0.00
$-0.72
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on April 18?
78 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 18, 2026$0.00
$-3.01
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on April 16?
67 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMColorado Rapids SC vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 1.5$1.55May 13, 19:37 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Odense BK (-2.5)$3.23May 13, 19:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on April 16?$5.00May 13, 19:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on April 16?$5.00May 13, 19:37 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: San Jose Earthquakes (-1.5)$10.00May 13, 19:37 UTC
- REDEEMToronto FC vs. Austin FC: O/U 4.5$10.00May 13, 19:37 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: San Jose Earthquakes (-2.5)$10.00May 13, 19:37 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: San Jose Earthquakes (-2.5)$13.34May 13, 19:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Lagos be 28°C or below on April 16?$14.96May 13, 19:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on April 16?$15.00May 13, 19:37 UTC
- REDEEMFC Nordsjælland vs. Aarhus GF: O/U 1.5$19.94May 13, 19:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Aarhus GF win on 2026-04-23?$39.96May 13, 19:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 52-53°F on April 17?$0.50Apr 17, 07:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on April 16?$4.25Apr 16, 21:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on April 16?$4.25Apr 16, 21:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on April 16?$4.29Apr 16, 21:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: San Jose Earthquakes (-2.5)$3.15Apr 16, 21:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: San Jose Earthquakes (-2.5)$1.20Apr 16, 21:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: San Jose Earthquakes (-2.5)$1.94Apr 16, 21:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: San Jose Earthquakes (-2.5)$1.26Apr 16, 21:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
50/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
23% win rate over 22 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
38 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 33/100.
22 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $1.27
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 16, 20:04 UTC
- Last active
- May 13, 19:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 22 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.