Oily-Ceramic
0x678e1935673902d2cedc7050a84561e41e9966f0
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$24.51
Total PnL
$-975.90
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
21 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$21.02
$0.02
- NO
Megaquake by March 31?
3 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$3.49
$0.28
- ORIOLES
Orioles vs. Yankees
2420 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2025$0.00
$-968.00
- NO
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
8 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.10
- NO
Megaquake in 2025?
6 shares @ 67.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.70
- NO
Megaquake before August?
4 shares @ 97.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.40
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?$21.00Mar 30, 15:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on February 28?$21.00Mar 4, 13:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYMegaquake by March 31?$3.21Feb 28, 05:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on February 28?$20.94Feb 28, 05:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?$1.10Feb 24, 12:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $1,200 in January?$2.10Feb 8, 14:33 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael nuclear weapon use against Iran by January 31?$3.60Feb 8, 14:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump talk to Xi Jinping in January?$19.54Feb 8, 14:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump talk to Xi Jinping in January?$19.50Feb 1, 02:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael nuclear weapon use against Iran by January 31?$3.60Jan 28, 06:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,200 in January?$2.10Jan 25, 23:26 UTC
- REDEEMTether insolvent in 2025?$1.16Jan 11, 02:14 UTC
- REDEEMXi Jinping out in 2025?$2.54Jan 11, 02:14 UTC
- REDEEMChina x Taiwan military clash by December 31?$4.04Jan 11, 02:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill China invade Taiwan in 2025?$5.23Jan 11, 02:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2025?$12.24Jan 11, 02:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2025?$12.23Dec 29, 11:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYXi Jinping out in 2025?$2.50Nov 23, 15:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYChina x Taiwan military clash by December 31?$3.90Oct 11, 17:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $150K in July?$1.21Oct 11, 17:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $48.28
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 25, 01:58 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 30, 15:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.