Uniform-Formal
0x6796bf177110e9cb36842494c22ee34a100224cd
Wallet digest
Activity score
52/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$2.12
Total PnL
$-1.88
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
'Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga' <$38m Opening Weekend?
1 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 27, 2024$1.06
$0.06
- NO
Will ETH hit $4k by Friday?
1 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 24, 2024$1.05
$0.05
- YES
Will a Republican win Maine Presidential Election?
11 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in May?
8 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill a Republican win Maine Presidential Election?$1.00May 27, 10:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a candidate from another party win New Mexico Presidential Election?$0.70May 27, 10:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a candidate from another party win New Mexico Presidential Election?$1.10May 27, 10:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $75,000 in May?$1.00May 24, 13:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Coinbase list $WIF in May?$0.50May 24, 13:03 UTC
- TRADEBUY'Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga' <$38m Opening Weekend?$1.00May 24, 13:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill UK Election on July 4 be cancelled?$0.50May 24, 12:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Dean Phillips win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?$2.50May 24, 12:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dean Phillips win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?$5.00May 24, 12:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill another party win the most seats in the Belgian federal elections?$1.00May 24, 12:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another party win the most seats in the Belgian federal elections?$1.00May 24, 12:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ETH hit $4k by Friday?$1.00May 24, 12:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill AOC win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$2.50May 24, 12:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AOC win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$5.00May 24, 12:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
14 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 56/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 14
- Avg trade size
- $1.70
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 24, 12:38 UTC
- Last active
- May 27, 10:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.