Naughty-Tweezers
0x67a181696667616444c5d6a5782a57e2118275bc
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
50
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-956.84
Realised
$-31.16
Win rate
0%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 50- SUNRISERS HYDERABAD
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Rajasthan Royals
454 shares @ 35.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$0.00
$-160.00
- HANNE VANDEWINKEL
Birmingham: Kayla Day vs Hanne Vandewinkel
394 shares @ 5.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$0.00
$-20.15
- YES
Exact Score: France 3 - 2 Spain?
212 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- RAJASTHAN ROYALS
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Rajasthan Royals
187 shares @ 42.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$0.00
$-80.00
- LUCKNOW SUPER GIANTS
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Punjab Kings
168 shares @ 36.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-61.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 14?
124 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-11.15
- CHENNAI SUPER KINGS
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Sunrisers Hyderabad
108 shares @ 46.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?
107 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-51.54
- YES
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?
103 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-32.00
- YES
Exact Score: France 3 - 1 Spain?
100 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYKylian Mbappé: 2+ goals AND France vs. England: O/U 8.5 AND France vs. England: Team to Win AND Will France win on 2026-07-18?$20.83Jul 18, 22:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYHarry Kane: 1+ goals AND Jude Bellingham: 1+ goals AND Lionel Messi: 1+ goals$8.89Jul 15, 18:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYEngland vs. Argentina: Team to Advance AND England vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5 AND Will England win on 2026-07-15?$10.00Jul 15, 18:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYEngland vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score AND England vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to Extra Time? AND Lionel Messi: 1+ goals AND Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?$9.99Jul 15, 18:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYEngland vs. Argentina: Team to Advance AND England vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5 AND Lionel Messi: 1+ goals AND Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?$10.00Jul 15, 18:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYEngland vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score AND England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance AND Lionel Messi: 1+ goals AND Will England win on 2026-07-15?$11.99Jul 15, 18:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. Spain: France 1st Half O/U 0.5$5.14Jul 14, 16:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score AND France vs. Spain: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout? AND France vs. Spain: Team to Advance AND Will France win on 2026-07-14?$15.00Jul 14, 16:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYKylian Mbappé: 1+ goals AND France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score AND France vs. Spain: Team to Advance$40.00Jul 14, 16:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: France 3 - 2 Spain?$7.34Jul 14, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: France 3 - 1 Spain?$5.24Jul 14, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: France 2 - 1 Spain?$5.22Jul 14, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYODI Series England vs India: England vs India$10.40Jul 14, 14:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5 AND Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?$14.99Jul 10, 19:21 UTC
- REDEEMArgentina vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score AND Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance AND Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?$27.41Jul 7, 18:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYArgentina vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score AND Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance AND Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?$14.99Jul 7, 16:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYPortugal vs. Spain: Will the Match Go to Extra Time? AND Will Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw?$5.00Jul 6, 20:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYPortugal vs. Spain: Will the Match Go to Extra Time? AND Portugal vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score AND Will Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw?$9.99Jul 6, 19:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Norway win on 2026-07-05?$23.81Jul 5, 22:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win on 2026-07-05?$5.12Jul 4, 17:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
28/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 6 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 49/100.
6 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $10.86
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 20, 19:46 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 18, 22:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.