Outrageous-Cigarette
0x67a2dcd1e9f92470e36316d85c6e4bfc97bc2953
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
89
Open notional
$6.55
Total PnL
$-813.64
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 89- UP
Solana Up or Down - July 11, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET
5 shares @ 42.0¢·now 36.5¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$1.82
$-0.28
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - July 11, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET
5 shares @ 40.0¢·now 34.5¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$1.72
$-0.28
- UP
XRP Up or Down - July 11, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET
5 shares @ 51.0¢·now 33.5¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$1.68
$-0.87
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET
5 shares @ 37.0¢·now 26.5¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$1.32
$-0.53
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET
40 shares @ 19.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$0.00
$-7.70
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET
40 shares @ 29.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$0.00
$-11.84
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET
40 shares @ 18.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$0.00
$-7.51
- UP
XRP Up or Down - July 11, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET
40 shares @ 26.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$0.00
$-10.75
- UP
XRP Up or Down - July 10, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET
40 shares @ 15.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$0.00
$-6.07
- UP
Solana Up or Down - July 11, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET
40 shares @ 22.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$0.00
$-8.95
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET$35.00Jul 11, 05:30 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - July 11, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET$35.00Jul 11, 05:30 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - July 11, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET$35.00Jul 11, 05:30 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - July 11, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET$35.00Jul 11, 05:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - July 11, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET$2.64Jul 11, 05:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - July 11, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET$2.19Jul 11, 05:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 11, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET$2.08Jul 11, 05:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET$1.93Jul 11, 05:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - July 11, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET$4.81Jul 11, 05:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - July 11, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET$4.86Jul 11, 05:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 11, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET$4.81Jul 11, 05:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET$4.34Jul 11, 05:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - July 11, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET$4.81Jul 11, 05:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - July 11, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET$4.91Jul 11, 05:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET$4.48Jul 11, 05:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 11, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET$4.86Jul 11, 05:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - July 11, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET$4.48Jul 11, 05:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - July 11, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET$4.53Jul 11, 05:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 11, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET$4.25Jul 11, 05:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET$4.06Jul 11, 05:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
42 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 52/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $3.64
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 11, 05:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 11, 05:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.