Sparse-Teletype
0x67a95cf07880baacc5d1ea4d549b26de186be29e
Wallet digest
Activity score
43/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.0K
Realised
$-3.16
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on June 20?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Curaçao win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals?
471 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2026$0.00
$-3.44
- NO
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?
364 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$0.00
$-120.00
- YES
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
273 shares @ 5.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Exact Score: Germany 0 - 2 Curaçao?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Exact Score: Spain 0 - 2 Saudi Arabia?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- OVER
Austria vs. Tunisia: O/U 2.5
196 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- OVER
Austria vs. Tunisia: O/U 5.5
189 shares @ 5.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYNorway vs. England: Team to Advance$4.61Jul 11, 23:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYArgentina vs. Switzerland: Switzerland O/U 1.5$3.12Jul 11, 23:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland win on 2026-07-11?$2.08Jul 11, 23:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYErling Haaland: 1+ goals$4.59Jul 11, 20:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYErling Haaland: 2+ goals$2.09Jul 11, 20:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYNorway vs. England: Norway O/U 1.5$10.34Jul 11, 20:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYNorway vs. England: Norway O/U 2.5$3.13Jul 11, 20:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYNorway vs. England: Team to Advance$5.17Jul 11, 20:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5$7.15Jul 9, 21:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 0.5$5.10Jul 9, 21:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYKylian Mbappé: 2+ goals$4.08Jul 9, 21:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYKylian Mbappé: 3+ goals$2.06Jul 9, 21:26 UTC
- TRADESELLKylian Mbappé: 1+ goals$18.67Jul 9, 21:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. Morocco: France O/U 2.5$3.06Jul 9, 20:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. Morocco: O/U 12.5 Total Corners$5.11Jul 9, 20:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 2.5$2.06Jul 9, 20:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5$4.09Jul 9, 20:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYKylian Mbappé: 1+ goals$10.14Jul 9, 20:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-07-09?$4.07Jul 9, 20:01 UTC
- REDEEMSwitzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advance$46.28Jul 7, 23:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
19/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
33% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 47/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $7.39
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 2, 21:22 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 11, 23:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.