Single-Excuse
0x67a9caf3a46de80dfe46295f7241ebaf0759c417
Wallet digest
Activity score
78/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$1.4K
Total PnL
$-386.61
Realised
$496.63
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Will Curaçao concede the most goals in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?
1000 shares @ 38.0¢·now 38.5¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$384.88
$5.45
- YES
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
3000 shares @ 6.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$225.00
$45.00
- NO
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
760 shares @ 30.6¢·now 21.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$163.67
$-68.74
- YES
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?
339 shares @ 48.0¢·now 46.5¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$157.73
$-5.09
- YES
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
750 shares @ 18.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$131.25
$-3.75
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?
756 shares @ 20.8¢·now 16.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$126.21
$-31.28
- YES
Will Trump attend 3 or more World Cup matches?
314 shares @ 20.2¢·now 19.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$61.27
$-2.31
- YES
Will Trump attend 2 World Cup matches?
238 shares @ 23.9¢·now 21.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$51.25
$-5.73
- YES
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
385 shares @ 19.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$44.27
$-28.88
- YES
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
487 shares @ 23.8¢·now 6.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$29.21
$-86.91
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Curaçao concede the most goals in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?$386.50Jun 14, 13:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$387.87Jun 14, 13:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?$165.36Jun 14, 10:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?$139.43Jun 14, 10:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Scotland win on 2026-06-13?$304.91Jun 14, 05:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Scotland win on 2026-06-13?$197.25Jun 13, 21:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$217.64Jun 13, 21:39 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$281.58Jun 13, 17:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump attend 3 or more World Cup matches?$66.11Jun 13, 11:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump attend 2 World Cup matches?$59.15Jun 12, 12:02 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$62.40Jun 12, 12:01 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 7, 00:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$118.66Jun 6, 10:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?$328.44Jun 6, 10:30 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 6, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 5, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 4, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jun 3, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$182.00Jun 2, 11:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$184.15Jun 2, 11:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $156.41
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 20, 06:36 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 13:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.