Pleasing-Love
0x67acfee6990dbd5942b6ccf85aa9407d4dcffb20
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
41
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-4.5K
Realised
$44.83
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 41- YES
Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
1685 shares @ 89.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.5K
- NO
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 27, 2026?
600 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-300.00
- NO
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 15, 2026?
505 shares @ 45.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-229.34
- NO
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 26, 2026?
400 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- NO
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 14, 2026?
312 shares @ 57.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-180.00
- NO
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 15, 2026?
309 shares @ 56.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-172.92
- NO
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 16, 2026?
266 shares @ 60.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-160.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 8°C on February 6?
200 shares @ 92.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2026$0.00
$-184.00
- NO
Will Trump talk to Friedrich Merz in January?
196 shares @ 50.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- NO
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 20, 2026?
191 shares @ 58.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-111.80
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Israel strike Lebanon on February 27, 2026?$0.10Mar 2, 00:25 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down on March 1?$346.14Mar 2, 00:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on March 1?$55.85Mar 1, 06:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on March 1?$24.70Mar 1, 06:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on March 1?$153.62Mar 1, 06:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on March 1?$95.00Mar 1, 05:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel strike Gaza on February 25, 2026?$1.00Mar 1, 05:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel strike Gaza on February 28, 2026?$229.58Mar 1, 00:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel strike Gaza on February 28, 2026?$24.99Feb 28, 23:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel strike Gaza on February 28, 2026?$69.83Feb 28, 23:59 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down on March 1?$19.33Feb 28, 16:54 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down on March 1?$100.00Feb 28, 16:52 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down on March 1?$4.80Feb 28, 16:34 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down on March 1?$6.00Feb 28, 16:19 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down on March 1?$1.00Feb 28, 16:19 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down on March 1?$369.00Feb 28, 16:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on March 1?$6.00Feb 28, 07:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on March 1?$494.13Feb 28, 06:22 UTC
- TRADESELLPéter Magyar sextape released by March 31 $7.50Feb 28, 06:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel strike Lebanon on February 27, 2026?$12.56Feb 28, 04:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
28/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
67% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $64.60
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 27, 00:30 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 2, 00:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.