0x67b732d797cc7014e9161720a6e1eecf881c5b90
0x67b732d797cc7014e9161720a6e1eecf881c5b90
Wallet digest
Activity score
84/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
3
Open notional
$62.47
Total PnL
$51.94
Realised
$353.87
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Cait Conley win the NY-17 Democratic Primary by more than 15%?
51 shares @ 42.9¢·now 98.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$49.82
$28.01
- YES
Will Cait Conley win the NY-17 Democratic Primary by 5–10%?
713 shares @ 9.6¢·now 1.5¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$10.70
$-57.69
- YES
Will Cait Conley win the NY-17 Democratic Primary by 10–15%?
783 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$1.96
$-272.26
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Cait Conley win the NY-17 Democratic Primary by more than 15%?$678.94Jul 31, 22:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Cait Conley win the NY-17 Democratic Primary by more than 15%?$15.00Jul 19, 10:05 UTC
- REWARD$5.47Jul 15, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Cait Conley win the NY-17 Democratic Primary by 5–10%?$0.08Jun 30, 22:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Cait Conley win the NY-17 Democratic Primary by 10–15%?$0.14Jun 28, 13:51 UTC
- REWARD$17.40Jun 23, 22:25 UTC
- REWARD$15.92Jun 23, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cait Conley win the NY-17 Democratic Primary by more than 15%?$292.47Jun 22, 13:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cait Conley win the NY-17 Democratic Primary by more than 15%?$3.33Jun 22, 11:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cait Conley win the NY-17 Democratic Primary by more than 15%?$39.09Jun 22, 11:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cait Conley win the NY-17 Democratic Primary by 10–15%?$35.00Jun 22, 10:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cait Conley win the NY-17 Democratic Primary by 10–15%?$6.30Jun 22, 07:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cait Conley win the NY-17 Democratic Primary by 10–15%?$18.20Jun 22, 07:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cait Conley win the NY-17 Democratic Primary by 5–10%?$48.87Jun 22, 06:53 UTC
- REWARD$17.40Jun 22, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cait Conley win the NY-17 Democratic Primary by 10–15%?$2.69Jun 21, 23:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cait Conley win the NY-17 Democratic Primary by 10–15%?$25.54Jun 21, 18:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cait Conley win the NY-17 Democratic Primary by 5–10%?$30.55Jun 21, 14:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cait Conley win the NY-17 Democratic Primary by 10–15%?$218.27Jun 21, 14:24 UTC
- REWARD$3.94Jun 20, 00:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
20/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
33% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $78.66
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 11, 00:37 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 31, 22:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.