Limp-Colt
0x67bc6af6806df61ba5144b125174ecf5f821d54e
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
46
Open notional
$99.6K
Total PnL
$-1.7K
Realised
$-272.04
Win rate
88%
17 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 46- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
90000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$77.8K
$32.9K
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
90000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$12.2K
$-32.9K
- NO
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
7000 shares @ 83.8¢·now 86.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.1K
$190.01
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $55 in July?
2000 shares @ 99.0¢·now 99.9¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$2.0K
$17.00
- NO
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
1500 shares @ 95.5¢·now 95.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.4K
$1.50
- YES
Will Sung-Jae Im win the 2026 Masters tournament?
22127 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.1¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$11.06
$-70.23
- YES
Will John N. Kennedy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
5066 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$7.60
$-12.80
- YES
Will Tim Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
5066 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$7.60
$-12.80
- YES
Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
5066 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$7.60
$-12.80
- YES
Will Rick Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
5066 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$7.60
$-12.80
Recent activity
- YIELD$8.02Jul 28, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$8.02Jul 27, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Karim Bouamrane win the 2027 French presidential election?$0.70Jul 26, 17:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Karim Bouamrane win the 2027 French presidential election?$0.27Jul 26, 12:19 UTC
- YIELD$8.02Jul 26, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Yannick Jadot win the 2027 French presidential election?$2.54Jul 25, 06:29 UTC
- YIELD$8.02Jul 25, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Yannick Jadot win the 2027 French presidential election?$0.07Jul 24, 15:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Candace Owens win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$5.33Jul 24, 14:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Candace Owens win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$9.87Jul 24, 14:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Yannick Jadot win the 2027 French presidential election?$0.30Jul 24, 05:11 UTC
- YIELD$8.02Jul 24, 00:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Yannick Jadot win the 2027 French presidential election?$0.60Jul 23, 15:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Yannick Jadot win the 2027 French presidential election?$0.13Jul 23, 13:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Yannick Jadot win the 2027 French presidential election?$0.25Jul 23, 12:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Karim Bouamrane win the 2027 French presidential election?$0.21Jul 23, 07:49 UTC
- YIELD$8.02Jul 23, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$8.01Jul 22, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$8.02Jul 21, 20:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Karim Bouamrane win the 2027 French presidential election?$0.03Jul 21, 14:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
29/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
88% win rate over 17 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
26 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 67/100.
17 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $132.23
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 6, 00:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 17 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.