Tricky-Tender
0x67c4304ce13d8306130fdc23d7320d0b82dcdfae
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$2.9K
Total PnL
$-300.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 90.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$908.50
$408.50
- NO
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 87.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$876.50
$376.50
- NO
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
879 shares @ 50.0¢·now 80.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$702.76
$263.26
- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
879 shares @ 50.0¢·now 20.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$176.24
$-263.26
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 12.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$123.50
$-376.50
- YES
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 9.2¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$91.50
$-408.50
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down on June 5?
1600 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$0.00
$-160.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET
233 shares @ 42.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET
83 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET
44 shares @ 57.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.26Jul 29, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.26Jul 28, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.26Jul 27, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.26Jul 26, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.26Jul 25, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.26Jul 24, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.26Jul 23, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.26Jul 22, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.26Jul 21, 20:07 UTC
- YIELD$0.26Jul 21, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.26Jul 19, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.26Jul 18, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.26Jul 17, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.26Jul 16, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.26Jul 15, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.26Jul 14, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.26Jul 13, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.26Jul 12, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.26Jul 11, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.26Jul 10, 00:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
2 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 54/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 2
- Avg trade size
- $5.18
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 15, 00:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.