Soggy-Drawbridge
0x67c5fa661cf9e747679d04f6a3f5e0f55f5a8bc0
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
29
Open notional
$1.07
Total PnL
$-5.1K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- NO
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
1 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$1.07
$0.00
- YES
Will Claudiu Târziu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
900 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-450.00
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $8000 in October?
888 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$0.00
$-444.00
- YES
Will the next Dutch government be GL/PvdA?
842 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-421.00
- YES
Will DeepSeek have the second best AI model on October 31?
756 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-378.00
- YES
Will the next Dutch government be PVV + VVD + CDA + JA21 + D66?
720 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-360.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?
667 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-333.50
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 1040-1079 tweets in January 2026?
665 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.33
- YES
Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
654 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-327.00
- YES
Will Mistral AI have the second best AI model on October 31?
647 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-323.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$1.14Jun 10, 06:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$1.04Jun 10, 06:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$1.07May 21, 12:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$1.04May 9, 08:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mistral have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$1.07May 1, 11:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Love on the Spectrum: Season 4" be the top US Netflix show this week?$1.02Apr 26, 09:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mistral have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$1.07Apr 15, 07:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Love on the Spectrum: Season 4" be the top US Netflix show this week?$1.02Apr 7, 09:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-22?$1.31Mar 29, 09:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-22?$1.05Mar 22, 07:25 UTC
- REDEEMDelaware State Hornets vs. Morgan State Bears$2.13Mar 15, 10:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYDelaware State Hornets vs. Morgan State Bears$1.05Mar 11, 23:43 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: Phantom vs Oxuji Esports (BO3) - European Pro League Series 5 Playoffs$1.71Mar 8, 11:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYHonor of Kings: JD Gaming vs Wolves (BO5) - King Pro League Stage 3 Group S$1.08Mar 8, 11:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Phantom vs Oxuji Esports (BO3) - European Pro League Series 5 Playoffs$1.06Mar 6, 07:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Choi In-ho win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?$0.32Mar 6, 07:54 UTC
- REDEEMAntalya 2: Oleksandra Oliynykova vs Iryna Shymanovich$1.52Mar 6, 07:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYAntalya 2: Oleksandra Oliynykova vs Iryna Shymanovich$1.11Mar 5, 08:25 UTC
- REDEEMLoL: Gen.G vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffs$2.15Mar 5, 08:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: ex-KRÜ Esports vs Game Hunters (BO3) - CCT South America Series #9 Playoffs$1.11Mar 3, 13:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
37 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 68/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $1.12
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 22, 05:21 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 10, 06:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.