Bubbly-Video
0x67d05678b89f84f7432a4c8408143135c9b1db7a
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
6
Open notional
$1.4K
Total PnL
$936.01
Realised
$1.1K
Win rate
40%
5 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?
10835 shares @ 10.5¢·now 9.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.0K
$-98.72
- YES
Will Qatar sign the US x Iran memorandum of understanding?
2200 shares @ 12.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$297.00
$33.00
- YES
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
312 shares @ 4.3¢·now 5.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$16.36
$2.85
- YES
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?
16111 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-32.22
- YES
Israel closes its airspace by June 14?
4724 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-94.99
- YES
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?
523 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-2.08
Recent activity
- TRADESELLIran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?$11.56Jun 18, 16:06 UTC
- TRADESELLIran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?$15.00Jun 18, 16:01 UTC
- TRADESELLIran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?$0.47Jun 18, 15:56 UTC
- TRADESELLIran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?$1.00Jun 18, 15:54 UTC
- TRADESELLIran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?$2.00Jun 18, 15:23 UTC
- TRADESELLIran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?$5.00Jun 18, 15:19 UTC
- TRADESELLIran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?$1.03Jun 18, 15:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by June 30?$8.54Jun 18, 14:53 UTC
- TRADESELLIran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?$1.45Jun 18, 14:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by June 30?$0.34Jun 18, 14:44 UTC
- TRADESELLIran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?$0.16Jun 18, 14:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by June 30?$0.11Jun 18, 14:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Qatar sign the US x Iran memorandum of understanding?$264.00Jun 18, 14:26 UTC
- TRADESELLIran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?$6.60Jun 18, 14:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?$0.80Jun 18, 14:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?$30.15Jun 18, 14:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?$25.72Jun 18, 14:11 UTC
- TRADESELLIran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?$1.00Jun 18, 14:08 UTC
- TRADESELLIran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?$1.00Jun 18, 14:06 UTC
- TRADESELLIran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?$3.73Jun 18, 14:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
14/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
40% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 69/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $14.98
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 18, 04:39 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 18, 16:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.