0x67e922c4454be0c38142685c92bc081ede0366ec
0x67e922c4454be0c38142685c92bc081ede0366ec
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
21
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-87.52
Realised
$29.86
Win rate
50%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 8PM ET
2161 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-4.35
- LEVI RODRIGUES JR.
UFC Fight Night: Felipe Franco vs. Levi Rodrigues Jr. (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)
2068 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-3.76
- YES
Will England win on 2026-07-15?
752 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.88
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET
687 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-11.14
- YES
Will France win on 2026-07-18?
674 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 18, 2026$0.00
$-8.48
- YES
Will France win on 2026-07-14?
541 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$0.00
$-11.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET
295 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-6.07
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET
294 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-6.53
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET
231 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-9.34
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET
206 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.85
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 8PM ET$2.08Jul 20, 00:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 8PM ET$2.00Jul 20, 00:58 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 8PM ET$0.32Jul 20, 00:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 8PM ET$1.22Jul 20, 00:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET$3.36Jul 20, 00:50 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET$0.44Jul 20, 00:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET$2.00Jul 20, 00:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET$2.00Jul 20, 00:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET$2.00Jul 20, 00:24 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET$4.54Jul 20, 00:21 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET$4.38Jul 20, 00:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET$8.10Jul 20, 00:20 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET$2.82Jul 20, 00:18 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET$1.91Jul 20, 00:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET$2.00Jul 20, 00:16 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET$1.38Jul 20, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET$2.00Jul 20, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET$2.00Jul 20, 00:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET$3.00Jul 20, 00:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET$3.51Jul 20, 00:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
25/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
50% win rate over 8 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 45/100.
8 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $3.20
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 19, 21:42 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 20, 00:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.