Tragic-Worry
0x67ef73ae279363aabed293ca0423463b33878008
Wallet digest
Activity score
77/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
1
Open notional
$22.74
Total PnL
$-0.22
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from August 3 - August 9?$22.96Aug 3, 02:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 14 - July 19?$36.00Jul 22, 08:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk buy Ryanair?$87.00Jul 14, 07:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 14 - July 19?$35.86Jul 14, 07:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk buy Ryanair?$86.92Jun 25, 14:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?$41.00Jun 25, 14:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 18?$24.00Jun 20, 01:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 18?$23.72Jun 18, 14:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?$40.96Jun 18, 14:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Meta have the best Coding AI model at the end of May 2026?$70.00Jun 18, 13:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $30 in May?$126.00May 31, 14:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $30 in May?$89.91May 25, 07:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meta have the best Coding AI model at the end of May 2026?$69.93May 4, 05:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $30 in May?$35.93May 4, 05:23 UTC
- REDEEMAnother crypto hack over $100m by December 31?$35.84May 4, 05:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother crypto hack over $100m by December 31?$17.05Apr 3, 10:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother crypto hack over $100m by December 31?$2.75Apr 3, 08:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Opendoor (OPEN) close at >$10 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 16 – Mar 20?$71.20Mar 25, 09:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Opendoor (OPEN) close at >$10 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 16 – Mar 20?$71.06Mar 16, 02:19 UTC
- REDEEMKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?$178.00Mar 3, 09:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $48.25
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 22, 13:05 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 3, 02:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.