Linear-Acknowledgment
0x67f0ad2a44132377c8c2fe72cac190d6c24a4744
Wallet digest
Activity score
97/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$100.00
Total PnL
$27.30
Realised
$-3.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Tim Walz be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?
100 shares @ 4.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 22, 2024$100.00
$95.30
- YES
Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?
218 shares @ 4.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on June 30?
141 shares @ 5.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-8.00
- YES
Will Josh Shapiro be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?
100 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 22, 2024$0.00
$-18.00
- YES
US military action against Iran in April?
100 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2025$0.00
$-8.00
- YES
Will Trump meet with Putin in Saudi Arabia before June?
100 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2025$0.00
$-11.00
- YES
Will Kanye launch a coin before May?
71 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Istanbul mayor İmamoğlu released from custody before May?
71 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIstanbul mayor İmamoğlu released from custody before May?$5.00Apr 7, 12:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kanye launch a coin before May?$5.00Apr 7, 12:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek have the top AI model on June 30?$8.00Apr 7, 12:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS military action against Iran in April?$8.00Apr 7, 12:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump meet with Putin in Saudi Arabia before June?$8.00Apr 7, 12:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?$10.00Apr 7, 12:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Putin in Saudi Arabia before June?$12.00Apr 7, 10:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Putin in Saudi Arabia before June?$10.00Apr 7, 10:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tim Walz be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?$4.70Jul 24, 20:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Josh Shapiro be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?$18.00Jul 24, 06:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
10 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 73/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 10
- Avg trade size
- $8.87
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 24, 06:18 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 7, 12:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.