Pleasing-Zebrafish
0x680661be79fbde0715563aa3ff7d5d5ffd161429
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
17
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.0K
Realised
$-2.52
Win rate
50%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- KINGS
Raptors vs. Kings
5000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- PELICANS
Pistons vs. Pelicans
2021 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-4.04
- JAZZ
Spurs vs. Jazz
1000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 10, 2026?
532 shares @ 87.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-464.50
- NUGGETS
Lakers vs. Nuggets
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 15, 2026?
491 shares @ 11.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-54.55
- NO
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 27, 2026?
386 shares @ 97.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-374.60
- YES
Will "The Strangers - Chapter 3" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 3.5m and 5m?
334 shares @ 17.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$0.00
$-57.42
- YES
Will "The Strangers - Chapter 3" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 5m and 6.5m?
274 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.37
- JAZZ
Jazz vs. Spurs
200 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 19, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill SpaceX have less than or equal to 5 launches in February?$200.00Feb 20, 22:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Gaza on February 10, 2026?$199.23Feb 12, 16:49 UTC
- TRADESELLU.S. strike on Somalia by February 7?$199.80Feb 12, 16:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Gaza on February 10, 2026?$63.70Feb 12, 15:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Gaza on February 10, 2026?$4.40Feb 12, 06:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Gaza on February 10, 2026?$175.55Feb 12, 06:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Gaza on February 10, 2026?$3.90Feb 12, 01:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Gaza on February 10, 2026?$17.73Feb 12, 01:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX have less than or equal to 5 launches in February?$167.61Feb 11, 03:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX have less than or equal to 5 launches in February?$28.39Feb 10, 23:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. strike on Somalia by February 7?$199.20Feb 10, 13:58 UTC
- TRADESELLCavaliers vs. Nuggets$26.00Feb 10, 04:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYCavaliers vs. Nuggets$29.10Feb 10, 03:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYCavaliers vs. Nuggets$0.90Feb 10, 03:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYCavaliers vs. Nuggets$41.82Feb 10, 03:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill "The Strangers - Chapter 3" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 3.5m?$334.00Feb 10, 01:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Strangers - Chapter 3" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 3.5m?$24.00Feb 8, 23:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Strangers - Chapter 3" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 3.5m and 5m?$5.40Feb 8, 23:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Strangers - Chapter 3" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 3.5m?$24.00Feb 8, 23:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Strangers - Chapter 3" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 3.5m and 5m?$5.40Feb 8, 23:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
16/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
50% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 57/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $135.38
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 1, 05:02 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 20, 22:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.