Pointed-Courthouse
0x680d4d95238d6270cbdd97d52fd3aee2cf25655f
Wallet digest
Activity score
79/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$14.00
Total PnL
$0.62
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Mamdani make NYC buses free by March 31?
3 shares @ 89.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$3.37
$0.37
- NO
Zohran Mamdani citizenship revoked before 2027?
3 shares @ 93.0¢·now 97.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.16
$0.16
- NO
Zohran Mamdani citizenship revoked in 2025?
3 shares @ 98.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$3.05
$0.05
- NO
Zohran Mamdani Parlay
3 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$3.03
$0.03
- YES
Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?
1 shares @ 99.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2025$1.39
$0.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?$1.38Nov 7, 05:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYZohran Mamdani citizenship revoked in 2025?$3.00Nov 7, 05:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYZohran Mamdani Parlay$3.00Nov 7, 05:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mamdani make NYC buses free by March 31?$3.00Nov 7, 05:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYZohran Mamdani citizenship revoked before 2027?$3.00Nov 7, 05:10 UTC
- TRADESELLCluely $1B valuation in 2025?$0.99Nov 7, 05:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump visit Gaza by Dec 31?$1.21Nov 7, 05:10 UTC
- REDEEMTrump approval Up or Down this week?$2.04Nov 7, 05:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump pardon Diddy by October 31?$2.05Nov 7, 05:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Government shutdown end by October 31?$2.27Nov 7, 05:10 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - October 29, 8AM ET$19.82Oct 30, 06:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - October 29, 8AM ET$10.11Oct 29, 08:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit Gaza by Dec 31?$1.10Oct 23, 15:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump approval Up or Down this week?$2.00Oct 23, 15:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end by October 31?$2.00Oct 23, 15:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump pardon Diddy by October 31?$2.00Oct 23, 15:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a Chinese AI model become #1 in 2025? $1.02Oct 23, 15:43 UTC
- TRADESELLOpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2025?$0.92Oct 23, 15:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Grok have a MacOS desktop app live by December 31?$0.50Oct 23, 15:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service by August 31?$1.06Oct 23, 15:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
37 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 49/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $1.67
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 24, 04:20 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 7, 05:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.