Probable-Farrow
0x68146921df11eab44296dc4e58025ca84741a9e7
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$35.08
Total PnL
$-12.0K
Realised
$30.9K
Win rate
68%
101 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
6489 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.3¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$16.22
$-186.56
- YES
Will Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
6489 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$9.73
$-193.05
- YES
Will Gustavo Bolívar win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
2502 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$1.25
$-76.60
- YES
Will Juan Carlos Pinzón win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
2454 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$1.23
$-86.40
- YES
Will Juan Manuel Galán win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
2454 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$1.23
$-86.40
- YES
Will Daniel Quintero win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
2240 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$1.12
$-78.86
- YES
Will Mauricio Cardenas win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
2151 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$1.08
$-75.73
- YES
Will Enrique Peñalosa win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
2151 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$1.08
$-75.73
- YES
Will David Luna Sánchez win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
2151 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$1.08
$-75.73
- YES
Will Sung-Jae Im win the 2026 Masters tournament?
2140 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.1¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$1.07
$-18.01
Recent activity
- REFERRAL_REWARD$17.25Jun 13, 00:35 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 13, 00:12 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$102.38Jun 12, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$39.82Jun 11, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$75.47Jun 10, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$14.25Jun 9, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$69.97Jun 8, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$58.37Jun 7, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$18.06Jun 7, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$48.25Jun 5, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$15.27Jun 4, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$16.06Jun 3, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$10.01Jun 2, 00:35 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 2, 00:13 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$48.60Jun 1, 00:35 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 1, 00:12 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$36.02May 31, 00:35 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 31, 00:14 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$24.58May 30, 00:35 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 30, 00:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 9
- Avg trade size
- $84.80
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 7, 06:57 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 00:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 101 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.