Upset-Chateau
0x681b16d613eb9b3d4b5973fd66fb4541826f8a5a
Activity score
100/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$641.35
Total PnL
$130.55
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
420 shares @ 71.1¢·now 99.9¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$419.37
$120.77
- NO
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?
200 shares @ 83.0¢·now 99.8¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$199.60
$33.60
- NO
Will Romania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
30 shares @ 75.0¢·now 41.5¢·exp May 16, 2026$12.45
$-10.05
- YES
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" score at least 75 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
10 shares @ 90.0¢·now 99.3¢·exp May 4, 2026$9.93
$0.93
- YES
Will the ECB announce an increase at the April 2026 meeting?
300 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-14.70
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Trump’s approval rating be between 39.5 and 39.9 on May 1, 2026?$270.002d ago
- TRADEBUYWill "The Devil Wears Prada 2" score at least 75 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?$9.002d ago
- REWARD$2.273d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump’s approval rating be between 39.5 and 39.9 on May 1, 2026?$57.004d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump’s approval rating be between 39.5 and 39.9 on May 1, 2026?$55.004d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump’s approval rating be between 39.5 and 39.9 on May 1, 2026?$5.454d ago
- REWARD$1.244d ago
- REDEEMBank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?$0.004d ago
- REDEEMWill "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 100m?$7.004d ago
- REDEEMWill "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 60m?$40.004d ago
- REDEEMWill "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 80m?$0.004d ago
- TRADESELLWill "Michael" score at least 40 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?$0.197d ago
- REDEEMWill Trump’s approval rating be between 38.5 and 38.9 on April 24, 2026?$120.008d ago
- MAKER_REBATE$1.039d ago
- REWARD$1.839d ago
- TRADEBUYWill "Michael" score at least 40 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?$20.1310d ago
- TRADEBUYWill "Michael" score at least 40 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?$17.7410d ago
- TRADEBUYWill "Michael" score at least 40 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?$47.0010d ago
- TRADEBUYWill "Michael" score at least 40 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?$4.4310d ago
- TRADESELLWill the criminal investigation into Jerome Powell be dropped by April 30?$0.3910d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $27.13
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 18d ago
- Last active
- 2d ago
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".