Smug-Prompt
0x6820fb0252fb0d6dccd5fba6e1d9692662ec5b8e
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
40
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-379.03
Realised
$14.87
Win rate
83%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 40- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
3500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
1429 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?
1250 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?
900 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
533 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
435 shares @ 6.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-30.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 11?
313 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 11, 2025$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?
140 shares @ 11.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-16.14
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on December 11?
105 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 11, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET
91 shares @ 16.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-14.93
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET$2.73Apr 17, 22:03 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET$2.58Apr 17, 21:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET$1.00Apr 17, 21:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?$1.29Apr 15, 19:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?$2.50Apr 15, 19:33 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET$2.29Apr 9, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET$2.00Apr 9, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET$1.00Apr 9, 00:13 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET$2.17Apr 9, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET$2.00Apr 9, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET$1.00Apr 8, 23:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET$2.00Apr 8, 23:35 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET$3.16Apr 8, 23:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET$4.62Apr 8, 23:34 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET$1.28Apr 6, 21:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET$1.00Apr 6, 21:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET$1.00Apr 6, 21:22 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET$2.65Apr 6, 21:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET$2.00Apr 6, 21:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET$1.00Apr 1, 23:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $2.33
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 27, 02:24 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 17, 22:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".