High-Contention
0x6824c3e2dfcd8c4225db570056fc1ad668d7d483
Wallet digest
Activity score
91/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$2.2K
Total PnL
$30.54
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- PISTONS
Magic vs. Pistons
2000 shares @ 74.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$2.0K
$520.00
- YES
Will Philadelphia Phillies win the 2026 National League Championship Series?
1134 shares @ 6.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Nov 1, 2026$85.05
$17.01
- YES
Will the Philadelphia Phillies clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason?
111 shares @ 42.0¢·now 44.5¢·exp Sep 28, 2026$49.40
$2.77
- YES
Will Shohei Ohtani lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 regular season?
182 shares @ 9.7¢·now 19.5¢·exp Sep 28, 2026$35.44
$17.72
- YES
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
5 shares @ 56.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$2.92
$0.12
- YES
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?
3314 shares @ 9.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-321.47
- NO
Will Khamenei tweet again by March 7?
228 shares @ 78.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-178.03
- NO
Will Khamenei tweet again by March 14?
37 shares @ 71.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-26.54
- YES
US forcibly removes Khamenei from power by March 31?
5 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.05
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Philadelphia Phillies win the 2026 National League Championship Series?$69.96May 2, 12:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYMagic vs. Pistons$1.5KMay 2, 12:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Philadelphia Phillies clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason?$47.43May 2, 09:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Shohei Ohtani lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 regular season?$18.20May 2, 09:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?$330.18May 2, 09:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?$2.84May 1, 18:49 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$4.99Mar 1, 07:49 UTC
- TRADESELLMavericks vs. Bucks$4.95Mar 1, 07:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran strike UAE in March?$18.00Mar 1, 07:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump meet with Ali Khamenei in 2026?$22.22Mar 1, 07:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iraq qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$17.07Mar 1, 07:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran strike Kuwait in March?$14.16Mar 1, 07:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran strike Qatar in March?$42.10Mar 1, 07:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jalen Johnson win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?$150.09Mar 1, 07:48 UTC
- TRADESELLIran strike on US military by February 28?$198.00Mar 1, 07:47 UTC
- TRADESELLIran strike on Qatar by February 28, 2026?$1.5KMar 1, 07:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iraq qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$27.34Mar 1, 07:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Kuwait in March?$52.67Mar 1, 05:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike UAE in March?$18.61Mar 1, 05:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Qatar in March?$45.23Mar 1, 05:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $115.66
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 28, 21:58 UTC
- Last active
- May 2, 12:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".