Worthwhile-Sock
0x682c92615993fd1f75cdfe101efdc1a8adcb17ae
Wallet digest
Activity score
89/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$1.4K
Total PnL
$-258.01
Realised
$2.9K
Win rate
61%
187 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?
1830 shares @ 2.6¢·now 6.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$116.24
$67.60
- YES
Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
3149 shares @ 0.9¢·now 2.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$77.14
$47.06
- YES
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
1940 shares @ 2.0¢·now 2.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$45.58
$6.79
- YES
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
1888 shares @ 2.1¢·now 2.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$42.49
$2.40
- YES
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
2595 shares @ 1.2¢·now 1.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$40.22
$8.83
- YES
Will the New York Jets win the 2027 NFL league championship?
4221 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.9¢·exp Mar 31, 2027$40.10
$4.09
- YES
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
782 shares @ 4.4¢·now 4.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$35.56
$1.40
- YES
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
4415 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$33.12
$-16.41
- YES
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
4915 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$31.95
$-13.48
- YES
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
1555 shares @ 1.8¢·now 1.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$30.33
$2.03
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.10Jul 28, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.10Jul 27, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.10Jul 26, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.10Jul 25, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.10Jul 24, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.10Jul 23, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.10Jul 22, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.10Jul 21, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$118.26Jul 20, 01:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$25.77Jul 20, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.11Jul 20, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.11Jul 19, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.11Jul 18, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.11Jul 17, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.11Jul 16, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.11Jul 15, 00:16 UTC
- REWARD$4.36Jul 15, 00:00 UTC
- YIELD$0.11Jul 14, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.12Jul 13, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.12Jul 12, 00:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
73/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
61% win rate over 187 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
20 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 27/100.
187 closed markets, 61% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $3.44
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 3, 09:21 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 187 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.