Outgoing-Surprise
0x682ed09e1ca436974725dee12a84415ec892d7e6
Wallet digest
Activity score
77/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$17.56
Total PnL
$0.56
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- THUNDER
Rockets vs. Thunder
11 shares @ 90.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 21, 2025$11.11
$1.11
- NO
Will Trump pardon Roger Ver in 2025?
3 shares @ 66.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$3.03
$1.03
- YES
Will NIKE (NKE) beat quarterly earnings?
1 shares @ 82.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$1.22
$0.22
- NO
100% tariff on China in effect by November 1?
1 shares @ 84.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$1.19
$0.19
- YES
Will Bad Bunny perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?
1 shares @ 98.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025?
3 shares @ 65.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Bryn Kenney win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?$2.0KNov 5, 03:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bryn Kenney win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?$2.0KNov 4, 02:00 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Nov 1, 00:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$2.0KOct 31, 03:03 UTC
- YIELD$0.19Oct 31, 00:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$2.0KOct 30, 03:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the New Orleans Pelicans win the 2026 NBA Finals?$2.0KOct 30, 03:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the New Orleans Pelicans win the 2026 NBA Finals?$2.0KOct 29, 02:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill How to Train Your Dragon be the top grossing movie of 2025?$2.0KOct 24, 01:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill How to Train Your Dragon be the top grossing movie of 2025?$2.0KOct 23, 02:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Monaco win the 2025–26 Champions League?$2.0KOct 23, 02:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Monaco win the 2025–26 Champions League?$2.0KOct 22, 02:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYRockets vs. Thunder$10.00Oct 22, 02:28 UTC
- TRADEBUY100% tariff on China in effect by November 1?$1.00Oct 13, 04:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump pardon Roger Ver in 2025?$2.00Oct 11, 13:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NIKE (NKE) beat quarterly earnings?$1.00Sep 29, 03:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025?$2.00Sep 29, 03:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bad Bunny perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?$1.00Sep 29, 03:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $1.3K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 29, 03:03 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 5, 03:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.