Negative-Replication
0x683cec5bfd986553235b871b27033984ea58c91d
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$4.56
Total PnL
$-74.59
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Australia" before 2027?
27 shares @ 18.6¢·now 17.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.56
$-0.44
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET
1000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NETS
Suns vs. Nets
50 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET
40 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.61
- PACERS
Pacers vs. Celtics
26 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET
25 shares @ 59.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-14.78
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET
19 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-9.84
- KINGS
Kings vs. Pelicans
17 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- WIZARDS
Nuggets vs. Wizards
16 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?$9.62Apr 24, 23:26 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET$28.40Feb 24, 21:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET$15.00Feb 24, 08:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET$15.00Feb 24, 08:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET$10.00Feb 24, 08:20 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET$15.19Feb 24, 08:18 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET$0.00Feb 24, 08:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET$10.00Feb 24, 08:12 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET$19.30Feb 24, 08:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET$5.00Feb 24, 05:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET$10.00Feb 24, 05:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET$1.00Feb 24, 05:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET$1.00Feb 24, 05:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET$10.00Feb 24, 05:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET$1.61Feb 24, 05:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?$5.00Feb 24, 05:06 UTC
- REDEEMBucks vs. Pelicans$12.50Feb 24, 04:55 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET$8.95Feb 19, 22:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Australia" before 2027?$5.00Feb 19, 01:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET$5.00Feb 19, 00:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $5.75
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 13, 20:52 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 24, 23:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.