Acclaimed-Certainty
0x684276b20f2efbb3a197bef791a725f84bfb3eb4
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
42
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-7.5K
Realised
$154.31
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 42- YES
Will José Antonio Kast win the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?
3100 shares @ 5.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$0.00
$-157.85
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - December 13, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET
2675 shares @ 94.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 14, 2025$0.00
$-2.5K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - December 13, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET
1783 shares @ 46.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 14, 2025$0.00
$-831.62
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be between 53-54°F on December 6?
1300 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 6, 2025$0.00
$-12.10
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 13, 10PM ET
1105 shares @ 30.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 14, 2025$0.00
$-333.62
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 9, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET
1078 shares @ 47.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 9, 2025$0.00
$-515.30
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be between 52-53°F on November 29?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 29, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 17, 4AM ET
1000 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 17, 2025$0.00
$-339.99
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on December 12?
910 shares @ 89.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 12, 2025$0.00
$-816.08
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be between 48-49°F on December 2?
854 shares @ 16.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 2, 2025$0.00
$-138.14
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Base launch a token in 2025?$2.5KJan 7, 01:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2025?$6.7KJan 7, 01:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 27?$22.04Dec 28, 22:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2025?$6.7KDec 28, 01:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 0°C on December 25?$1.09Dec 27, 12:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 2°C on December 25?$1.6KDec 27, 12:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 3°C or below on December 26?$2.7KDec 27, 12:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 27?$21.89Dec 27, 12:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 0°C on December 25?$1.08Dec 25, 05:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 2°C on December 25?$1.6KDec 25, 05:36 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 25, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET$0.00Dec 25, 05:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 25, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET$34.71Dec 25, 05:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 3°C or below on December 26?$2.7KDec 25, 03:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 12°C on December 22?$190.73Dec 23, 05:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 11°C on December 22?$17.1KDec 23, 05:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 10°C on December 22?$25.8KDec 23, 05:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 10°C on December 22?$98.10Dec 22, 14:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 11°C on December 22?$820.15Dec 22, 14:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 10°C on December 22?$539.47Dec 22, 14:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 10°C on December 22?$352.80Dec 22, 14:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $1.2K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 22, 14:23 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 7, 01:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".