Palatable-Circle
0x6848cc966265884083b9b458fc26d77f8914b6c2
Wallet digest
Activity score
43/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
31
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-301.29
Realised
$-0.03
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 31- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET
268 shares @ 14.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$0.00
$-38.97
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - July 20, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET
172 shares @ 16.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-28.04
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET
159 shares @ 12.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET
120 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET
85 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$0.00
$-18.77
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET
76 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$0.00
$-13.62
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET
66 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$0.00
$-24.38
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET
60 shares @ 16.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$0.00
$-9.68
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET
58 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 16, 2026$0.00
$-16.73
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET
55 shares @ 20.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-11.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET$0.00Jul 21, 20:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET$16.66Jul 21, 19:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 20, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET$29.68Jul 20, 22:25 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET$30.04Jul 20, 22:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET$20.57Jul 20, 22:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET$1.05Jul 20, 22:14 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET$0.00Jul 20, 21:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET$23.98Jul 20, 21:43 UTC
- TRADESELLSolana Up or Down - July 20, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET$8.64Jul 20, 21:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - July 20, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET$4.18Jul 20, 21:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - July 20, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET$10.47Jul 20, 21:40 UTC
- TRADESELLXRP Up or Down - July 20, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET$0.22Jul 20, 21:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYDogecoin Up or Down - July 20, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET$5.27Jul 20, 21:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - July 20, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET$5.26Jul 20, 21:37 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET$0.00Jul 20, 21:35 UTC
- TRADESELLSolana Up or Down - July 20, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET$10.61Jul 20, 21:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - July 20, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET$7.24Jul 20, 21:33 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - July 20, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET$37.18Jul 20, 21:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 20, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET$23.23Jul 20, 21:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET$2.12Jul 20, 21:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
22/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
33% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 49/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $13.79
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 16, 23:06 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 20:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.