Lasting-Summary
0x684b77dfdce380dc69d9b935e37c8b4b4304bbb8
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$15.73
Total PnL
$-4.55
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- NO
Zama FDV above $1B one day after launch?
3 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$3.49
$0.21
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?
3 shares @ 96.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$3.10
$0.10
- NO
Will SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027?
2 shares @ 88.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$2.27
$0.27
- NO
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 31?
2 shares @ 63.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.59
$0.59
- NO
Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?
1 shares @ 72.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$1.39
$0.39
- NO
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by January 31?
1 shares @ 77.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$1.30
$0.30
- YES
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
1 shares @ 78.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$1.28
$0.28
- NO
Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by January 31, 2026?
1 shares @ 87.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$1.15
$0.15
- YES
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
4 shares @ 26.0¢·now 2.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.10
$-0.90
- YES
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
4 shares @ 25.0¢·now 1.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.07
$-0.93
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYZama FDV above $1B one day after launch?$3.28Jan 28, 23:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYZama FDV above $400M one day after launch?$1.50Jan 28, 23:06 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$1.22Jan 28, 23:05 UTC
- REDEEMZama auction clearing price above $0.04?$3.55Jan 28, 23:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYZama auction clearing price above $0.04?$2.95Jan 24, 14:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture all of Prymorske by January 15, 2026?$2.16Jan 24, 14:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Prymorske by January 31, 2026?$1.00Jan 10, 07:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Prymorske by January 15, 2026?$2.00Jan 10, 07:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by January 31?$1.00Jan 10, 07:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by February 28?$1.00Jan 10, 07:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 31?$1.00Jan 10, 07:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$1.00Jan 10, 07:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$1.00Jan 10, 07:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed Cut–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?$1.00Jan 10, 07:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?$3.00Jan 10, 07:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$1.00Jan 10, 07:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$0.68Jan 10, 07:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$1.08Jan 6, 14:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?$1.08Jan 6, 14:33 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?$1.15Jan 6, 14:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $1.39
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 17, 14:18 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 28, 23:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.