Specific-Begonia
0x684de32861cf22af4660f775d5135f9ad9e0fb07
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
76
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-17.2K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 76- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET
502 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-251.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET
502 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-251.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET
501 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 14, 2025$0.00
$-250.50
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET
501 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 14, 2025$0.00
$-250.50
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - November 15, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET
500 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$0.00
$-250.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 15, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET
500 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-250.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET
500 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 14, 2025$0.00
$-250.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 15, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET
500 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-250.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET
500 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 14, 2025$0.00
$-250.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - November 15, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET
500 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$0.00
$-250.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Israel strike Lebanon on December 9?$1.04Dec 15, 06:00 UTC
- REDEEMFed Derivative: Jan "25bps cut" over 40% on December 10?$1.05Dec 11, 07:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Lebanon on December 9?$1.03Dec 11, 07:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be between 129m and 143m?$1.02Dec 5, 02:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed Derivative: Jan "25bps cut" over 40% on December 10?$1.01Dec 5, 02:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be between 129m and 143m?$1.02Nov 28, 03:07 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: Zero Tenacity vs EYEBALLERS (BO3)$0.51Nov 28, 03:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jeannette Jara win less than 20% of votes in the first round?$1.02Nov 28, 03:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill José Antonio Kast win at least 28% of votes in the first round?$1.04Nov 28, 03:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Evelyn Matthei win less than 9% of votes in the first round?$1.04Nov 28, 03:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bill Ackman say "Million" or "Billion 5+ times" during the X Space event on November 18?$1.06Nov 28, 03:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Johannes Kaiser win less than 7% of votes in the first round?$1.20Nov 28, 03:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bill Ackman say "Million" or "Billion 5+ times" during the X Space event on November 18?$1.02Nov 17, 09:04 UTC
- REDEEMNorth Korea missile launch by November 15?$1.03Nov 17, 09:03 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - November 16, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET$400.00Nov 16, 06:32 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - November 16, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET$492.00Nov 16, 06:32 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - November 16, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET$492.00Nov 16, 06:32 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - November 16, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET$492.00Nov 16, 06:32 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - November 16, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET$500.00Nov 16, 06:32 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - November 16, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET$500.00Nov 16, 06:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $144.17
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 16, 02:40 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 15, 06:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.