Tricky-Mangle
0x685994acc8ee97891f17a59ff6df25853913d10b
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
37
Open notional
$1.94
Total PnL
$-89.47
Realised
$1.07
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 37- YES
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
4 shares @ 51.0¢·now 45.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$1.94
$-0.23
- YES
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Evidence Trump went to Epstein's Island made public in 2025?
102 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the US strike Iran next?
92 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will AI be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist?
25 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Pope Leo XIV be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist?
24 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will anyone audibly fart during Trump's WEF 2026 speech?
18 shares @ 5.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?
17 shares @ 27.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-4.60
- YES
Will Donald Trump say "F-35" during Israel President events on December 29?
16 shares @ 31.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUY2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House$2.17Apr 24, 05:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$2.17Mar 7, 10:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?$1.14Feb 18, 19:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill anyone be kicked out of Trump's State of the Union address?$1.05Feb 18, 19:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Biathlon - Men's 4 X 7.5km Relay at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?$1.00Feb 13, 22:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?$1.57Feb 13, 22:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the United States win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?$2.67Feb 13, 22:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the United States win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?$2.28Feb 8, 16:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keir Starmer say "Ukraine" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?$1.00Feb 8, 12:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keir Starmer say "Dialogue" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?$1.00Feb 8, 12:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keir Starmer say "Iran" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?$1.00Feb 8, 12:57 UTC
- REDEEMGold (GC) Up or Down on January 30?$1.89Feb 4, 21:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Armada" during the announcement on Thursday?$1.00Jan 29, 18:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Melania" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 3m?$1.00Jan 29, 18:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill anyone be kicked out of Trump's State of the Union address?$1.00Jan 29, 18:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$2.00Jan 29, 18:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYGold (GC) Up or Down on January 30?$1.00Jan 29, 18:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US strike Iran next?$2.00Jan 29, 06:43 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by January 28, 2026?$0.47Jan 28, 06:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of January?$6.62Jan 28, 06:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $2.80
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 6, 07:20 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 24, 05:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".