Arid-Scow
0x685b70806013224cbfcb4a17487e098b3bab380b
Wallet digest
Activity score
78/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$6.22
Total PnL
$0.51
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in November?
4 shares @ 85.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$3.51
$0.51
- YES
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2025-11-25?
2 shares @ 53.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 25, 2025$1.89
$0.89
- YES
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
5 shares @ 0.8¢·now 4.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.23
$0.19
- YES
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
6 shares @ 0.8¢·now 2.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.12
$0.08
- YES
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
5 shares @ 0.8¢·now 1.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.07
$0.03
- YES
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
5 shares @ 0.8¢·now 1.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.07
$0.03
- YES
Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
5 shares @ 0.8¢·now 1.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.05
$0.01
- YES
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
6 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.04
$-0.00
- YES
Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
6 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.04
$-0.00
- YES
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
6 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.04
$-0.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$0.04Dec 10, 12:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$0.05Dec 7, 23:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$0.07Dec 5, 02:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$0.04Dec 2, 21:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$0.05Nov 29, 20:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$0.05Nov 28, 11:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$0.03Nov 27, 04:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$0.09Nov 26, 12:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$0.09Nov 25, 20:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$0.06Nov 25, 16:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2025-11-25?$1.00Nov 25, 13:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City FC win on 2025-11-25?$1.20Nov 25, 13:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in November?$3.00Nov 25, 13:48 UTC
- MERGEWill Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$831.00Nov 25, 13:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$826.01Nov 25, 13:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$5.82Nov 25, 13:45 UTC
- MERGEWill Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$253.00Nov 25, 13:44 UTC
- MERGEWill Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$566.00Nov 25, 13:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$251.48Nov 25, 13:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$1.77Nov 25, 13:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $131.80
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 25, 10:13 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 10, 12:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.