Fumbling-Independent
0x685b85df6dca8544fbcd79b6316eda6a85b369ef
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-532.93
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Maduro out by November 30, 2025?
1595 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Israel strikes Iran by January 9, 2026?
840 shares @ 5.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Olympic" or "Olympics" during the 2026 State of the Union address?
693 shares @ 8.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-58.00
- YES
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?
597 shares @ 8.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-50.85
- YES
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?
561 shares @ 19.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-109.50
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 38-39°F on January 22?
349 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-13.40
- YES
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 25?
318 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-12.07
- YES
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on June 30?
289 shares @ 5.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-17.00
- PATRIOTS
Patriots vs. Giants
238 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 28, 2025$0.00
$-78.41
- YES
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" while addressing the nation on December 17?
206 shares @ 20.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 17, 2025$0.00
$-42.94
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Olympic" or "Olympics" during the 2026 State of the Union address?$58.00Feb 25, 02:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 36-37°F on January 22?$3.48Jan 21, 18:12 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael nuclear weapon use against Iran by January 31?$3.80Jan 21, 18:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 38-39°F on January 22?$13.40Jan 21, 18:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 40-41°F on January 22?$17.29Jan 21, 18:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on January 22?$18.20Jan 21, 18:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on January 22?$20.00Jan 21, 18:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 42-43°F on January 22?$30.00Jan 21, 18:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?$50.85Jan 8, 18:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael nuclear weapon use against Iran by January 31?$10.00Jan 8, 01:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran by January 9, 2026?$50.00Jan 8, 01:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?$52.50Dec 29, 19:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?$57.00Dec 29, 18:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" while addressing the nation on December 17?$42.94Dec 17, 23:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Venezuela military engagement by November 25?$12.07Nov 25, 03:44 UTC
- TRADESELLPanthers vs. 49ers$12.07Nov 25, 03:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYPanthers vs. 49ers$60.37Nov 25, 03:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYMaduro out by November 30, 2025?$50.00Nov 25, 00:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYPatriots vs. Giants $78.41Aug 21, 22:39 UTC
- REDEEMOilers vs. Panthers$0.00Jun 17, 17:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $50.15
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 6, 16:18 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 25, 02:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.