Cruel-Vegetarianism
0x685f738bb000053daa6d44b797468cc6a69bda8d
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
54
Open notional
$3.79
Total PnL
$-221.21
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 54- YES
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
9 shares @ 55.0¢·now 41.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$3.79
$-1.21
- ALABAMA
Alabama vs. Indiana
63 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- MIAMI
Miami vs. Indiana
58 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will Alabama win the 2026 College Football National Championship?
55 shares @ 7.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- TEXAS A&M
Miami vs. Texas A&M
35 shares @ 57.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 20, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Ole Miss win the 2026 College Football National Championship?
27 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- GEORGIA TECH
Georgia Tech vs. BYU
26 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 27, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the 2025-26 College Football Champion come from the SEC?
22 shares @ 53.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-12.00
- LSU
LSU vs. Oklahoma
22 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 29, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall in 2025?
17 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSeahawks vs. Patriots$5.00Feb 6, 22:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYMiami vs. Indiana: O/U 47.5$5.00Jan 19, 23:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYMiami vs. Indiana$15.00Jan 19, 23:51 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Indiana (-3.5)$10.87Jan 19, 23:49 UTC
- REDEEMMaduro mugshot released by Monday?$11.90Jan 19, 23:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYOregon vs. Indiana: O/U 47.5$5.00Jan 9, 21:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Indiana (-3.5)$5.00Jan 9, 21:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYMaduro mugshot released by Monday?$5.00Jan 4, 00:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?$5.00Jan 4, 00:41 UTC
- REDEEMO/U 42.5$5.45Jan 4, 00:29 UTC
- REDEEMUS recession in 2025?$6.67Jan 4, 00:29 UTC
- REDEEMOle Miss vs. Georgia$18.75Jan 4, 00:29 UTC
- REDEEMMiami vs. Ohio State$0.00Jan 4, 00:29 UTC
- REDEEMMiami vs. Ohio State$20.00Jan 4, 00:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the 2025-26 College Football Champion come from the SEC?$2.00Dec 31, 21:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYOle Miss vs. Georgia$5.00Dec 31, 21:50 UTC
- REDEEMVirginia vs. Missouri$5.26Dec 31, 21:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYAlabama vs. Indiana$10.00Dec 28, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYO/U 48.5$2.00Dec 28, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYMiami vs. Ohio State$2.00Dec 28, 00:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
35 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 72/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $5.97
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 18, 13:32 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 6, 22:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.