Incredible-Receptor
0x686880eea810fa9141be46a1acec9eee41755198
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
115
Open notional
$386.10
Total PnL
$-967.67
Realised
$-0.60
Win rate
42%
48 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 115- YES
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1000 shares @ 3.7¢·now 4.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$48.50
$11.50
- YES
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
3000 shares @ 1.3¢·now 1.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$40.50
$2.50
- YES
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2000 shares @ 1.9¢·now 1.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$39.00
$1.00
- YES
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2000 shares @ 1.7¢·now 1.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$39.00
$5.00
- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
600 shares @ 5.2¢·now 5.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$30.90
$-0.30
- YES
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
4000 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$30.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?
1000 shares @ 4.3¢·now 2.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$28.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2000 shares @ 1.2¢·now 1.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$27.00
$3.00
- YES
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
3000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$25.50
$-3.99
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
300 shares @ 9.3¢·now 7.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$23.55
$-4.35
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$30.69Jun 13, 23:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.70Jun 13, 23:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.62Jun 13, 23:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on June 14?$3.20Jun 13, 22:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on June 14?$2.07Jun 13, 22:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on June 14?$1.65Jun 13, 22:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on June 14?$0.07Jun 13, 20:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on June 14?$0.28Jun 13, 20:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on June 14?$0.21Jun 13, 20:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on June 14?$0.04Jun 13, 20:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on June 14?$0.04Jun 13, 20:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on June 14?$0.19Jun 13, 20:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C or below on June 13?$286.34Jun 13, 16:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 13?$461.05Jun 13, 16:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on June 14?$0.02Jun 13, 10:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on June 14?$17.51Jun 13, 09:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on June 13?$59.40Jun 13, 09:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on June 13?$1.94Jun 13, 09:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on June 13?$2.94Jun 13, 09:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on June 13?$55.79Jun 13, 09:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $15.77
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 06:06 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 23:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 48 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.