Marvelous-Rock
0x686ac09f884953588b0e517147018a52117f06e1
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$39.67
Total PnL
$-25.33
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on April 30?
25 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$25.26
$1.26
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C on April 30?
14 shares @ 83.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$14.40
$2.40
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 14?
23 shares @ 66.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?
19 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?
16 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?
15 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C on April 30?$12.10Apr 30, 14:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on April 30?$24.06Apr 30, 07:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $100,000 in March?$8.06Apr 30, 06:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 in March?$13.05Apr 30, 06:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 11?$13.20Apr 30, 06:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$17.51Apr 30, 06:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $100,000 in March?$8.00Mar 11, 14:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 in March?$13.00Mar 11, 14:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$17.00Mar 11, 14:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 11?$13.00Mar 11, 14:06 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down on February 14?$27.37Mar 11, 13:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 14?$15.00Feb 14, 11:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down on February 14?$26.00Feb 14, 11:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?$5.21Feb 14, 11:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?$7.26Feb 14, 11:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?$12.50Feb 14, 11:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?$15.18Feb 14, 11:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$24.37Feb 14, 11:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?$15.00Dec 25, 13:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?$5.00Dec 25, 13:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $13.58
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 5, 08:58 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 30, 14:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.