Raw-Chauvinist
0x686bbfa6c38f4ce307e537352cb79e2ee60938ed
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$59.57
Total PnL
$-29.43
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
21 shares @ 47.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$20.91
$10.91
- NO
5kt meteor strike in 2026?
21 shares @ 47.0¢·now 67.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$14.26
$4.26
- NO
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?
19 shares @ 52.0¢·now 50.7¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$9.76
$-0.24
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on February 28?
5 shares @ 94.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$5.29
$0.29
- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
10 shares @ 52.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$4.86
$-0.14
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 February 23-March 1?
3 shares @ 62.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$3.23
$1.23
- YES
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
1 shares @ 79.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$1.27
$0.27
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 October 27-November 2?
500 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $118,000 October 27-November 2?
405 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
- NO
Will Russia capture Rivnopillia by December 31?
31 shares @ 6.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$27.10Feb 28, 13:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $62,000 February 23-March 1?$2.00Feb 28, 13:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on February 28?$5.00Feb 28, 13:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$50.00Feb 28, 13:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $105,000 in January?$5.75Feb 26, 14:38 UTC
- REDEEMZama auction clearing price above $0.04?$50.30Feb 26, 14:38 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Feb 9, 00:27 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Feb 6, 00:26 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Feb 5, 00:41 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Feb 4, 00:41 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Feb 3, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Feb 2, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Feb 1, 00:42 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jan 31, 01:01 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jan 30, 00:40 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jan 29, 00:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYZama auction clearing price above $0.04?$50.00Jan 26, 11:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jan 24, 00:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $100,000 January 12-18?$2.22Jan 19, 11:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $100,000 January 12-18?$2.00Jan 13, 18:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $11.07
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 5, 17:02 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 28, 13:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.