Full-Gale
0x68764ba85dcbbf7f697e3d391ee240d1c842c57f
Wallet digest
Activity score
31/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
130
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-91.48
Realised
$-1.60
Win rate
2%
42 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 130- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on July 2?
997 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on July 6?
125 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C or higher on June 10?
15 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$0.00
$-2.25
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 10?
14 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$0.00
$-2.44
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 3?
13 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on June 11?
10 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.40
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 11?
10 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$0.00
$-0.70
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 11?
10 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.10
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on June 6?
10 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 8?
10 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast hit 520 million subscribers by July 31?$0.03Jul 12, 05:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Bangaranga - DARA" be the song of the summer?$0.21Jul 12, 05:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on July 6?$0.02Jul 6, 15:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on July 6?$0.02Jul 6, 15:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on July 6?$0.73Jul 5, 17:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on July 6?$0.20Jul 5, 17:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on July 6?$0.09Jul 5, 16:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 30°C on July 6?$1.04Jul 5, 16:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on July 6?$1.05Jul 5, 16:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on July 6?$1.05Jul 5, 15:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on July 5?$2.46Jul 5, 15:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 5?$0.00Jul 5, 05:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 5?$0.02Jul 5, 05:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on July 5?$1.21Jul 5, 05:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on July 5?$1.03Jul 5, 05:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C on July 5?$1.03Jul 5, 05:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on July 5?$1.03Jul 5, 05:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on July 5?$1.03Jul 5, 05:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast hit 520 million subscribers by July 31?$1.05Jul 4, 17:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Bangaranga - DARA" be the song of the summer?$1.05Jul 4, 17:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
56/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
2% win rate over 42 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 22/100.
42 closed markets, 2% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.95
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 3, 04:38 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 12, 05:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 42 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.