Puny-Emerald
0x687762a0b126efb37400b9fa6f5adf6c168ade8a
Wallet digest
Activity score
38/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
34
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.6K
Realised
$-62.34
Win rate
20%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 34- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
40000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Solana dip to $90 before 2026?
4300 shares @ 6.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-272.49
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in November?
2498 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-66.61
- YES
Netanyahu out by March 31?
2162 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-80.00
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
2020 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-22.22
- YES
Will Solana dip to $70 before 2026?
1800 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-52.20
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 July 13-19?
1700 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-25.51
- YES
Will Dogecoin reach $0.15 in April?
1398 shares @ 11.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-164.19
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,400 in July?$14.68Jul 15, 13:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $72,000 July 13-19?$4.61Jul 15, 13:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $72,000 July 13-19?$5.30Jul 15, 13:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $72,000 July 13-19?$8.75Jul 15, 13:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $74,000 July 13-19?$4.51Jul 15, 13:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $74,000 July 13-19?$21.00Jul 15, 13:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $72,000 July 13-19?$0.63Jul 15, 13:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $72,000 July 13-19?$0.58Jul 15, 13:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $72,000 July 13-19?$0.77Jul 15, 13:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $72,000 July 13-19?$0.77Jul 15, 13:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $72,000 July 13-19?$0.69Jul 15, 13:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $72,000 July 13-19?$0.56Jul 15, 13:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $72,000 July 13-19?$0.61Jul 15, 13:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $72,000 July 13-19?$0.57Jul 15, 13:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $72,000 July 13-19?$0.56Jul 15, 13:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $72,000 July 13-19?$0.52Jul 15, 13:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $72,000 July 13-19?$0.18Jul 15, 13:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $72,000 July 13-19?$0.63Jul 15, 13:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $72,000 July 13-19?$0.70Jul 15, 13:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $72,000 July 13-19?$0.98Jul 15, 13:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
28/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
20% win rate over 10 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 41/100.
10 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $21.24
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 14, 10:28 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 15, 13:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.