Delightful-Licorice
0x6882594c218e52b83790724c7577a5615042d830
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-127.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
US grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2025?
305 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-55.00
- YES
Will a cat 5 hurricane make US landfall during Hurricane Season 2025?
266 shares @ 19.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-51.00
- YES
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran before August?
125 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall in 2025?
34 shares @ 32.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-11.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?$0.00Jul 9, 16:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $120K in June?$0.00Jul 9, 16:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $115K in June?$0.00Jul 9, 16:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US officially declare war on Iran before July?$0.00Jul 9, 16:47 UTC
- REDEEMTrump approval Up or Down this week?$0.00Jul 1, 07:14 UTC
- REDEEMTrump approval Up or Down this week?$0.00Jul 1, 07:14 UTC
- REDEEMTrump approval Up or Down this week?$0.00Jul 1, 07:14 UTC
- REDEEMAnother US military action against Iran by Sunday?$0.00Jun 24, 02:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother US military action against Iran by Sunday?$15.00Jun 23, 04:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?$25.00Jun 23, 04:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump approval Up or Down this week?$15.00Jun 22, 14:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say Reza or Pahlavi during his Iran address on June 21?$0.00Jun 22, 14:13 UTC
- REDEEMUS military action against Iran before July?$130.02Jun 22, 14:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran before August?$10.00Jun 22, 01:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall in 2025?$11.00Jun 22, 01:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say Reza or Pahlavi during his Iran address on June 21?$20.00Jun 22, 01:35 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?$0.00Jun 19, 14:25 UTC
- REDEEMFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after June 2025 meeting?$0.00Jun 19, 14:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Russia" during his 250th Army Anniversary remarks on June 14?$0.00Jun 17, 22:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Freedom" 2+ times during his 250th Army Anniversary remarks on June 14?$0.00Jun 17, 22:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
26 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 52/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $31.54
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 12, 15:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 9, 16:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.