Thick-Participation
0x6882c1979bd93cd85c5a4d34791f6396100caf89
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$23.49
Total PnL
$-516.72
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- NO
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
23 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$23.49
$1.64
- PACKERS
Packers vs. Vikings
850 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 4, 2026$0.00
$-382.50
- YES
Will ChatGPT be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 9?
750 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2,600 on February 4?
667 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will Wagner Moura (The Secret Agent) win Best Actor – Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?
230 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 11, 2026$0.00
$-66.67
- YES
Will Threads be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 9?
130 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-9.10
- NO
Will "Sinners" be nominated for Outstanding Performance by a Cast in a Motion Picture at the 32nd Actor Awards?
60 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 7, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Freecash - Get Paid Real Money be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 9?
50 shares @ 80.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will Marina Helena win the 2024 São Paulo mayoral election?
50 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 6, 2024$0.00
$-0.10
- NO
Will "One Battle After Another" be nominated for Outstanding Performance by a Cast in a Motion Picture at the 32nd Actor Awards?
34 shares @ 5.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 7, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?$21.85Feb 4, 23:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be less than $2,600 on February 4?$550.00Feb 4, 23:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be less than $2,600 on February 4?$24.81Feb 4, 03:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be less than $2,600 on February 4?$174.69Feb 4, 03:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be less than $2,600 on February 4?$349.40Feb 4, 03:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be less than $2,600 on February 4?$2.00Feb 4, 03:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Bridgerton: Season 4" be the top global Netflix show this week? (February 3, 2026)$252.35Feb 4, 03:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "The Rip" be the top global Netflix movie this week? (February 3)$301.53Feb 3, 19:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Rip" be the top global Netflix movie this week? (February 3)$300.00Feb 2, 19:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Bridgerton: Season 4" be the top global Netflix show this week? (February 3, 2026)$250.00Feb 2, 19:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Wagner Moura (The Secret Agent) win Best Actor – Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?$66.67Jan 9, 23:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Threads be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 9?$5.86Jan 9, 11:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Threads be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 9?$3.24Jan 9, 11:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "End of Beginning - Djo" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?$79.96Jan 9, 03:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ChatGPT be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 9?$0.51Jan 8, 23:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ChatGPT be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 9?$0.23Jan 8, 20:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ChatGPT be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 9?$0.02Jan 8, 20:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ChatGPT be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 9?$0.12Jan 8, 19:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ChatGPT be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 9?$0.13Jan 8, 17:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "End of Beginning - Djo" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?$80.00Jan 8, 16:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $63.08
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 5, 13:24 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 4, 23:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.